WarCalendar: Geostrategy

"The invisible dimension of dirty oil and gas in Libya and Syria, is the Russian private military company Wagner," the Turkish press writes, "as it is natural for Turks to be" locked up "for deposits in Syria, Libya as well as about them in the Mediterranean and the Cypriot EEZ.
One of the most decisive elements of the power struggle of the main rivals in Syria and Libya is mainly the control of energy resources.

In Syria, about three-quarters of the country's natural resources are under US and YPG control.

The vast majority of these resources are sold through various trade networks located in the country. It is known that my YPG members carry oil to the Assad forces in Israel, many different customers through Israel.

Recently, it has begun to reveal that there are other factors that are very interested in Syria's oil and gas reserves.

According to Novayagazete and some other Russian news agencies, Russia's private military company Wagner not only took over some oil and gas fields, but also started exploration activities, reports Turkish media, which is blaming Russia, as disturbed by the presence of the Wagner team in the region.

Given Wagner's growing effectiveness in Libya, the nature of this development is growing even more.

On December 16, 2019, the Syrian parliament passed a number of laws to agree to the development of three pieces of natural gas and oil with two Russian companies. Behind the so-called owners and presidents of these companies is Concord Management, Russia's Evgeny Prigozhin.

Interventions cover at least 12 thousand square kilometers. The amount of gas reserves projected to be discovered corresponds to three-quarters of the total estimated stocks of 250 billion cubic meters.

According to Novayagazeta, these companies are only part of the many companies involved in the Syrian business in this context.

In Libya, the Russian company Tatneft has entered into a contract with Libyan AGESCO to conduct a seismic survey at 4/82 in Ghadames Basin to complete the seismic research program postponed in 2014.

But Moscow has recently sent mercenary troops to Libya to support General Khalifa Haftar's forces in the east of the country. A move that could prove problematic for Turkey, which backs the government based in the capital Tripoli.

Kerim Has, a professor of Russian and Turkish history based in Moscow, predicts that Moscow's support for Haftar "will continue and expand". "Deeper struggle for new energy reserves amid security concerns in the region and the catastrophic experience of Syria has pushed Russia to play strongly in Libya, "he said.

"But this will certainly affect Turkey-Russia relations, as the Erdogan government opposes not only leaders in the region, such as Syria, Egypt, Israel and Greece, but also Haftar, who is the main partner. of Russia to Libya ".

"Turkey seems to be particularly endangering its interests in Libya and the eastern Mediterranean region, as it had done in Syria before. The November agreement between Turkey and Sharjah, affecting Greece and Cyprus, ignoring their territorial waters has has already caused tensions in Turkish-Russian relations.

"Although Russia has enormous security, energy and trade interests with Turkey, the Libyan issue is emerging as a new potential obstacle to Moscow-Ankara relations." It is not just a possibility but it is in fact transformed that Turkey and Russia are again appearing on opposite sides of a civil war in Libya unless they can manage the tensions, "he said.

Wagner's Russian mercenaries, both in Libya and in Syria, were there to safeguard Russian interests primarily in hydrocarbon deposits, which is why Russian President Putin himself went to Berlin a few days ago for Libya, because it is very simple. many.

Anger and panic are rife in Turkey over the expressed intention of Greece, Italy and Britain to join a peacekeeping force in Libya, aimed at ceasefire on both sides, something the EU is really considering.

These three countries sent the message "We are ready to help Libya", with the issue being discussed in Brussels ", the Turkish press reports.

The reason for the Turkish outrage is the fact that all three countries belong to the EU, which is actually considering the plan of military deployment in the country of a European force, especially after Merkel's initiative in Berlin last Sunday.

"The goal is to control the ceasefire," the EU foreign relations spokesman said.

Greece, the Turks emphasize, on the other hand, declared a voluntary military presence through the Foreign Ministry with the words "We are ready to help".

According to the Turkish daily Yeni Şafak, Italian Minister for European Affairs Vincenzo Amendola said the country is ready to deploy a peacekeeping force in Libya.

He pointed out that Italy already has more than 6,000 troops involved in peacekeeping missions.

Amendola claimed that Italy's possible presence in Libya "will give priority to maintaining peace unlike other forces".

Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias has said, "that we agree with General Haftar on all matters, such as the withdrawal of Islamist mercenaries from Libya", while formally he himself wants to cancel the memorandum between Sharjah and Turkey.

"Greece is ready to help Libya the next day," Mr Dendias said, stressing that "the country will send Greek troops under the auspices of the EU or other" peacekeeping force "to Libya to protect the ceasefire and to control the arms embargo ".

This fact and the Greek backstage movements of our country in the EU have caused anger and panic in Ankara, because the Turks are simply afraid of being isolated.

That is why Ankara continues to press Berlin on this issue, with the German Chancellor reporting yesterday, about a new conference on Libya in February, to make Turkish military presence well-received and now "frozen". Temporarily, while Haftar does not sign any paper mentioning the word "Turkish".

But the reins of EU defense policy were essentially taken over by France, which is sending a naval squad to the Mediterranean, aiming for a provocative Turkish presence, bearing in mind the interests of the French oil pipelines.

Within these plans it is estimated that Greece is also "fit", which can be very good if hoped for.

Josep Borrell, the EU's High Representative for External Relations and Security Policies, said the EU could send troops to Libya if a permanent and formal ceasefire is achieved.

He said Brussels would consider sending a military peacekeeping force because: ceasefire should be monitored, while stressing that Brussels should do more to defend its interests.

Also, British Prime Minister M. Johnson noted that, if the ceasefire was achieved, an EU "peacekeeping force" could be sent to Libya to monitor the situation there.

Thus Italy, Greece and Britain are considered as the main candidates for the creation of a possible peacekeeping force, which is, as they all sho

w, institutionally now dealt with by the EU.

As soon as the Greek army breaks its ground in Libya, Turkey will lose everything, even the EEZ agreement with Turkey.

The most important event in the Middle East went completely unnoticed last week and involved the inauguration of a huge Egyptian military base.

On January 15, 2020, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi inaugurated the Berenice military base in the presence of representatives of foreign delegations.

It is estimated to be the largest military base in the Middle East and Africa and the largest military base in the Red Sea.

The new base is located near the city of Aswan, Egypt's largest port on the Nile River bordering Sudan.

Its area covers 150,000 acres and compares in size with the state of Qatar (this is a symbolism, since Qatar is actually much larger (2,859 million acres), but the message of Egyptian propaganda in favor of the UAE is clear here.

According to the jane's defense news agency, the Egyptian Armed Forces base has a naval base, an air base with 18 hangars for fighter aircraft, a military hospital, on-site units and administrative personnel, as well as landing areas. of available weapons, located in the arsenals of the Egyptian army.

It also has its own desalination plant with a capacity of 34 thousand cubic meters per day, and there is also a civilian airport nearby (capacity - 600 passengers / hour), as the base is connected by access roads 40 km long.

Strategically, the Egyptian military base will perform a number of tasks:

1. Defense of the southern border of Egypt from any threats. In this context, we are talking about control by Ethiopia, which is building the Great Barrier on the Upper Nile.

Although Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia, through Washington's mediation, have reached preliminary agreements on the Khedashi tank on the so-called Blue Nile on January 17, there are still serious tensions between Egypt and Egypt.

In particular, Cairo is absolutely reluctant to establish an Ethiopian military base in the Red Sea, (Djibouti).

2. Cairo also sends a clear message to Turkey that it does not like excessive military activity in the Horn of Africa. Especially the plans for the development of the Turkish army in Somalia and Sudan.

3. Following Iran's challenges with ships in the Persian Gulf in 2019, Egypt will protect the safety of navigation in the Red Sea, especially in the Suez Canal. The base will also be an important element in curbing Iran's military expansion in the region.

Also, the Berenice base will be able to accommodate US troops (which will be gradually withdrawn from Iraq) so that they do not leave the area completely and have the ability to reach crisis areas quickly.

4. The base will strengthen coordination between the UAE and Egypt in the Red Sea region, as the Emirates already has a number of new military bases in Eritrea and Yemen's Socenra islet.

In short, al-Sisi has built a huge military base as Turkey seeks to encircle Egypt on all sides, most recently Libya, from which it has so far failed.

The Egyptian president is the only leader in the region to implement a massive plan to halt the Ottoman Empire's dream of revival, and a few days ago the French who once ruled in those areas also woke up.

The Turkish war machine is not only treated with diplomacy (which is always necessary), but it requires thorough military preparation and plans to contain it in all its extensions.

Main mission safeguarding Iran's Basic Military Facilities

According to our article months ago, Moscow has taken initiatives behind the scenes on Iran and the possibility of US military intervention, with the sending of select commandos.

Since June 2019, a Russian consultant has been reported to the Iranian General Staff to strengthen Iranian air defense, consisting of Russian S-300 missile systems deployed at the Bushehr nuclear reactor complex.

Members of the Russian military intelligence service, e-war experts and advisers to the Iranian air command and control system have moved to Iranian territory to support Iran in a possible attack by the US and their allies.

Today, January 22, 2020, in the context of a possible very serious military conflict in the Middle East (US-Iran), Russia is alleged to have sent 80 Russian commandos to Iran, with the main task of safeguarding the country's main military installations.

Absolute discretion from Moscow

Moscow has not provided official information on the matter, however, given the appearance of the Iranian Foreign Minister in Russia prior to the Iranian missile attacks on the "licensed" US base (as it turned out) sources in Russian, Chinese and Turkish news agencies, many defense analysts have linked it to the Russian-Iranian defense agreement.

The United States, for its part, has very unpleasant problems with the possibility that the Iranian regime is secretly preparing nuclear weapons because it believes it will seriously affect the vital interests of the United States and Israel, whose security is guaranteed.

Iran's resolute refusal to allow any US inspection of its nuclear facilities, in combination with US sanctions against Tehran, has created a very heavy climate between the two sides.

"Russia, and President Putin personally, are watching the situation very carefully, and for this reason he has decided to send 80 Russian commandos to Iran's military and nuclear facilities to prevent possible US attacks," the Chinese news agency said. Sohu.

Recall that a powerful defense agreement still in force between Iran and Russia has been signed, the outcome of which is the dispatch of Russian warships "at a distance of the Kalibr rocket launchers" off the coast of Iran, while the airspace above Iran. , is scanned daily by Russian radars at bases in southern Russia.

This means that if Tehran is notified via Russian radar that the country may be attacked by US cruise missiles targeting Iran's air defense, and in particular reactors, military installations and warehouses, then Tehran is reportedly launching a missile. missiles on US warships and aircraft at their bases in the area with Russian "help" and targeting Saudi oil refineries and pipelines in the Gulf.

"Iran's Armed Forces Alert"

"The armed forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran," said a Russian military source requesting anonymity, "will have all the air defense systems ready to attack air, sea and land targets."

Russian specialists are now working in Bushehr and that means the S-300s are exclusively about Bushehr protection, "he concluded. A Russian military source said there is now active coordination between Russia and Iran in the Iranian General Staff of Armed Forces.

It all shows that Moscow is doing something similar to Venezuela, by sending forces to "secure" critical facilities and the country's political and military elite, seeking to prevent a possible American attack.

Attacks on tankers in Strait of Hormuz last year prompted US officials to urge allies to join maritime security mission.

South Korea's military has said it plans to expand the deployment of an anti-piracy unit now operating off the coast of Africa to the area around the Strait of Hormuz after the United States pressed for help to guard oil tankers.

Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Iran last year prompted US officials to call for allies to join a planned maritime security mission.

As a key US ally, South Korea has debated the prospect, and the decision to divert a navy unit already in operation southwest of the Arabian peninsula comes as a compromise that will not require fresh parliamentary authorisation.

While South Korea will deploy its forces to the area, including the Gulf, it will not officially be joining an international coalition of forces, the defence ministry said on Tuesday.

"The South Korean government decided to temporarily expand the deployment of the Cheonghae military unit," a ministry official told reporters.

The step would ensure the safety of citizens and free navigation of South Korean vessels, he added.

The Cheonghae unit will continue with its mission while it cooperates with the coalition, the ministry said, adding that the US had been briefed on the decision, which was also explained to the Iranians separately.

The Strait of Hormuz is a busy passageway into the Gulf, with vessels sailing through it approximately 900 times a year for South Korea, which gets more than 70 percent of its oil from the Middle East, the defence ministry says.

The Cheonghae unit has been stationed in the Gulf of Aden since 2009, working to tackle piracy in partnership with African countries as well as the US and the European Union.

The 302-strong unit operates a 4,500-ton (4,082 tonnes) destroyer, a Lynx anti-submarine helicopter and three speedboats, South Korea's 2018 defence white paper showed.

Among its operations were the rescue of a South Korean ship and its crew in 2011, shooting eight suspected pirates and capturing five others in the incident.

WarCalendar Agent: Trinity

Ιndependent Military News Agents, Breaking Army and Politic News about Middle East, East Mediterranean, Russia, Syria, Turkey, Greece, Israel, Iran, USA, and other countries involved in world war acts

Risk of destabilization by the Kosovo special forces in the Balkan area.

They say it in all tones, especially Russians, Serbs and Bulgarians, but many in the EU and the West " don't care" in view of the very high risk in the Balkans of the creation of the so-called Kosovo army, which is now sponsored by the Turk President Erdogan to implement his dirty plans.

Yesterday's Albanian fighters, terrorists and extremists who survived the Kosovo war join the ranks of the new armed forces today, because it is a "great honor" for them, while salaries to officers of the Kosovar army from West will surely be very good, "says a Russian special defense analyst.

“Don't forget the young Albanian fighters who visit the Middle East periodically to support their "peers" in ISIS. None of them has forgotten or canceled the idea of the so-called "Greater Albania", as Albanian influence is gradually spreading to both Skopje and Montenegro.

There have been more and more instances of regular provocations and attacks against representatives of the Serb minority in Kosovo-Metohija.

Some for some reason believe that the situation there has stabilized significantly! None of this is true! The media talk a lot, but they don't talk about a lot of things, so as not to bother many, from what is happening there, ”he says.

“It is well known that in these Balkan states, nationalist Albanians have many organizations and political parties. The local population notes that they do not behave very tolerant of indigenous citizens, and many of these Albanians are not openly afraid to say that "this is their land and that Serbs and Skopje people have no place here".

It is easy to guess who is financing and preparing the new armed forces of the so-called Republic of Kosovo.

It is understandable that even during the Kosovo war and the bombing of Yugoslavia in 1999, they themselves trained the Albanians in the war, (United States, Britain, France).

Millions of dollars have been invested in the Balkan media to implement their pro-Western propaganda during the civil war in Bosnia and, of course, in Kosovo (and throughout the former Yugoslavia as a whole).

So, in 2018, Kosovo Albanian parliamentarians backed the transformation of the so-called "Kosovo security forces" into a full-fledged regular body that is about to begin to be equipped, as there is a new generation of Albanians who have grown into a highly autonomous one.

Where the equipment and weapons come from is also easy to know. Haradinaj has already managed to stress that the creation of his own army in Kosovo is "a wonderful step for NATO membership", he concluded.

The role of Turkey

But now we have continuous training of Kosovars by the Turkish Armed Forces, and we have dozens of Albanians studying in Turkish military production schools, as joint military exercises are held each year between the two sides.

In this way the Turks acquire strong links with the state of Kosovo and, in conjunction with excellent relations with the Macedonians, create a strong Islamic axis over the northern Greek border.

Greece has to face a reality that says Erdogan's Turkey has created an imaginary arc in the north, starting with Albania, Skopje and Kosovo, penetrating deep into the Balkans, which is certainly not in our favor.

Kyriakos Mitsotakis sent a loud message to Turkey about the rapid developments in the eastern Mediterranean.

During his interview with Alpha, he stated in a strict manner that "Greece will never accept any political solution to Libya unless the unacceptable memorandum between Ankara and the Tripoli government is annulled. We will veto. "

The prime minister expressed his concern about Greece's invitation to Berlin for Libya, noting that "our country did not receive any invitation. Of course Greece had never been asked about, this is a situation we hoped for. But we had to be there. I will also have my own contact with Angelic Merkel and I have informed all those responsible in writing, ”he said.

On the possibility of Greece going to The Hague, Mr Mitsotakis made it clear "there is no way for Greece to go to The Hague on any issue other than the designation of a continental shelf and EEZ in the Aegean and the eastern Mediterranean. We are not discussing non-existent issues with the Turks, ”Mitsotakis said meaningfully.

Responding to the challenges of Turkish President Erdogan, who threatened to send a research vessel south of Kastellorizo, the prime minister said that "if Greece does so, it will do what it has to do".

He added, however, that he does not believe that things will reach this point.

"The issue is not what we are going to do in a hot episode, the issue is not to get there. Greece has strong and proven alliances and I am not referring only to the US. Thank you Mr Macron for being the warmest supporter of Greece. Greece has very strong allies in the region, I put Israel but also Egypt. I do not think we will get to the point of managing tension in the Aegean. But if we do manage to manage it, "Mitsotakis said.

WarCalendar Agent: Trinity

Spice Mag

Facebook Fanpage

Recent Posts

Categories

Connect With Us

Popular Posts

Recent Posts

Latest From

About Us

Facebook Fanpage

Recent Posts

Categories

Connect With Us

Popular Posts

EMERGENCY: Transportation of Pantsir-S anti-aircraft system to Libya

Russian media: LNA fighters destroy ship with Turkish weapons

Iran-Russia defense cooperation pact activated: Putin sends commandos to Iranian military installations

Recent Posts